According to preliminary statistics, aggregate financing to the real economy (AFRE) (flows) was RMB 15.37 trillion in the first three quarters of 2018, down RMB 2.32 trillion year on year (y-o-y). Specifically, RMB loans to the real economy registered an increase of RMB 12.8 trillion, RMB 1.34 trillion more than the same period of 2017; foreign currency-denominated loans to the real economy (RMB equivalent) recorded a decrease of RMB 191.3 billion, dropping RMB 160.8 billion further y-o-y; entrusted loans registered a decrease of RMB 1.16 trillion, dropping RMB 1.84 trillion further y-o-y; trust loans registered a decrease of RMB 465.2 billion, dropping RMB 2.25 trillion further y-o-y; undiscounted bankers’ acceptances recorded a decrease of RMB 678.6 billion, dropping RMB 1.14 trillion further y-o-y; net financing of corporate bond stood at RMB 1.59 trillion, up RMB 1.41 trillion y-o-y; outstanding local government special bonds reached RMB 1.7 trillion, up RMB 143.8 billion y-o-y; domestic equity financing by non-financial enterprises amounted to RMB 309.9 billion, down RMB 291.8 billion y-o-y. AFRE (flows) reached RMB 2.21 trillion in September, up RMB 276.8 billion over August and down RMB 39.7 billion y-o-y.
By structure, RMB loans to the real economy accounted for 83.2% of AFRE (flows) in the first three quarters of 2018, up 18.4 percentage points y-o-y; foreign currency-denominated loans to the real economy (RMB equivalent) occupied -1.2%, down 1 percentage point y-o-y; entrusted loans accounted for -7.5%, down 11.4 percentage points y-o-y; trust loans occupied -3%, down 13.1 percentage points y-o-y; undiscounted bankers’ acceptances accounted for -4.4%, down 7 percentage points y-o-y; corporate bonds occupied 10.3%, up 9.3 percentage points y-o-y; local government special bonds accounted for 11%, up 2.2 percentage points y-o-y; and domestic equity of non-financial firms made up for 2%, down 1.4 percentage points.
Note 1: AFRE (flows) refers to the volume of financing provided by the financial system to the real economy. In the calculations of AFRE (flows), data are from PBC, CBIRC, CSRC, CCDC and NAFMII.
Note 2: PBC improved the statistical method of AFRE in July 2018. Specifically, PBC incorporated “asset-backed securities of depository financial institutions” and “written-off loans” into AFRE statistics under the item of “other financing.”
Note 3: On incorporating local government special bonds into AFRE statistics: Local government special bonds refer to the government bonds issued by local governments for public welfare projects with certain earnings, whose principal and interests will be repaid with the government funds or special income from the public welfare projects within a certain period of time as agreed. The issuance of local government special bonds has sped up since August, 2018 exhibiting visible replacement effect for bank loans and corporate bonds. In order to have the replacement effect reflected in the statistics the PBC has incorporated local government special bonds into AFRE since September, 2018.
The monthly comparable statistics of AFRE (flows) since 2017 are as follows.
Month |
January 2017 |
February 2017 |
March 2017 |
April 2017 |
May 2017 |
June 2017 |
Flow of the Month (Unit: RMB 100 million) |
37095 |
11046 |
24001 |
15604 |
13136 |
21131 |
In which: Local Government Special Bonds |
0 |
0 |
1806 |
2019 |
1934 |
1991 |
Asset-backed Securities of Depository Financial Institutions |
-129 |
-10 |
164 |
-505 |
294 |
113 |
Written-off Loans |
253 |
149 |
846 |
210 |
277 |
1309 |
Month |
July 2017 |
August 2017 |
September 2017 |
October 2017 |
November 2017 |
December 2017 |
Flow of the Month (Unit: RMB 100 million) |
14983 |
17514 |
22451 |
12004 |
19139 |
15865 |
In which: Local Government Special Bonds |
3326 |
1924 |
2517 |
1315 |
2282 |
849 |
Asset-backed Securities of Depository Financial Institutions |
-505 |
446 |
324 |
61 |
248 |
1476 |
Written-off Loans |
205 |
250 |
1276 |
271 |
481 |
2059 |
Month |
January 2018 |
February 2018 |
March 2018 |
April 2018 |
May 2018 |
June 2018 |
Flow of the Month (Unit: RMB 100 million) |
30673 |
11854 |
15685 |
17726 |
9458 |
14852 |
In which: Local Government Special Bonds |
0 |
108 |
662 |
808 |
1012 |
1019 |
Asset-backed Securities of Depository Financial Institutions |
-137 |
-146 |
387 |
821 |
377 |
272 |
Written-off Loans |
320 |
261 |
1234 |
259 |
479 |
1737 |
Month |
July 2018 |
August 2018 |
September 2018 |
|
|
|
Flow of the Month (Unit: RMB 100 million) |
12161 |
19286 |
22054 |
|
|
|
In which: Local Government Special Bonds |
1851 |
4106 |
7389 |
|
|
|
Asset-backed Securities of Depository Financial Institutions |
123 |
501 |
895 |
|
|
|
Written-off Loans |
176 |
377 |
1612 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|